Showing posts with label Global Warming. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Global Warming. Show all posts
The reactions continue to roll in over the Bachmann sponsored lecture series held yesterday on the campus of St. Cloud State University. They range from the rational analysis at SCSU Scholars and Minnesota Independent to the mid level sanity of Gary Gross at Let Freedom Ring to even the apoplectic lunacy of Andy Aplikowski at Residual Forces.

As I said, and as King Banaian noted, the pace at which Mr. Horner spoke made it difficult for anyone not equipped with handy dandy powerpoint notes to follow along. While it certainly doesn't make him wrong about anything, it seems to me that anyone trying desperately to have their viewpoint understood would have taken their time. Unfortunately, I do not believe that this was Mr. Horner's purpose. His purpose was to speak to his believers and overwhelm the non-believers so that they would not have adequate chance to address any one specific piece of data. Although, I will give him that it made for fantastic political theatre!

For her part, Michele Bachmann provided only the introductory remarks to an event touted as a Bachmann Forum. Those remarks, read from a piece of paper in front of her sounded remarkably similar to the already discredited Star Tribune Commentary which had been published the day before.

Here is the video (I apologize for the shakiness) of her SCSU introduction:



It is interesting that Bachmann begins her remarks by recognizing that there are two sides to this issue and thanks everyone for attending. Unfortunately, those empty thanks are followed up by a one sided presentation with no information presented from those that believe cap and trade to be effective and who believe that climate change is a real issue that needs to be addressed. For someone who wants us to be the "most educated people in America", she certainly did not demonstrate it with this presentation.

The rest of her opening statement is filled with slanted information and veiled attacks on the Democratic Party.

She begins her attacks with news that Senator Harry Reid has signaled that he may use a process known as Reconciliation to pass certain pieces of legislation. What she conveniently leaves out of this description of an "obscure parliamentary maneuver" is that Republicans used this maneuver several times during their tenure in power.

From Media Matters:

As Media Matters for America has noted, Republicans used the reconciliation process to pass legislation including the Economic Growth and Tax Relief Reconciliation Act of 2001, the Jobs and Growth Tax Relief Reconciliation Act of 2003, and the Tax Increase Prevention and Reconciliation Act of 2005. In a March 28 article, The New York Times reported: "[T]here are a couple of problems for Republicans as they push back furiously against the idea, chief of which is the fact that they used the process themselves on several occasions, notably when enacting more than $1 trillion in tax cuts in 2001."

As Bachmann continues, she distances herself from the already discredited figure of a $3,128 cost to an uncited cost of "more than $2500". Where she gets this new, lower cost, is not entirely clear.

Bachmann later touts a study done in Spain which appeared to indicate that any increase in "green jobs" is offset by a greater loss in other jobs. After some digging, I found an alternate analysis of this particular study which appears to put into question the validity of these claims.

From Get Energy Smart NOW:

The latest piece of right-wing scaremongering is now making the rounds. Western Business Roundtable, a right-wing organization that I have never heard of before. Ah, the sme , is touting a study in Spain which they say shows that every green job results in two jobs being destroyed. The study was prepared under the direction of Dr. Gabriel Calzada, an economics professor at Juan Carlos University in Madrid.

The first thing that I notice is that the study fails to establish cause and effect. In other words, there may have been 2.2 jobs lost for every green job created, but that says nothing about whether there is a causal relationship between the two variables. Just because Event A and Event B happened does not mean that Event A caused Event B. It could well be given the current economic climate that the creation of green jobs had nothing to do with the loss of 2.2 jobs because of the worldwide economic crisis. In other words, these jobs might have been lost no matter what the Spanish government did. And it could be that the creation of these jobs, given the worldwide economic recession, prevented a bad situation from getting worse.

The one possible cause that the study suggests is the cause of these lost jobs is the fact that the money could have possibly gone towards funding the creation of actual businesses through, say, tax cuts. But the problem here is that this is not a causal relationship, but an appeal to guilt. Of course there are always as many different alternatives as there are people interested in these projects. But a proper way to compare would be to study the effects of tax cuts, say, as opposed to the effects of creating green jobs. And a proper way might to be to consider the long-term implications of not creating these jobs — the possible creation of a massive humanitarian crisis that could wipe out the Straights of Gibraltar, among other low-lying Spanish areas and create more unemployment than the Western Business Roundtable’s worst nightmares for green jobs.

Bachmann goes on to ask rhetorically, "Where are the potential benefits?", although I dare to bet that she would subsequently ignore the potential benefits if they were given to her. For those who would like to read about the potential benefits, you can read this post from Environmental Economics:

The economic case for cap-and-trade (or a carbon tax) is clear. Climate change and the associated negative impacts of emissions are known in economics as negative externalities. Much theoretical and empirical research supports an environmental regulation that taxes the polluting activity (or, equivalently, capping the pollution with permits and allowing polluters to trade the permits). The additional production cost of taxes or permits causes profits to be lower in the polluting industries, the supply of the polluting product falls and price of the polluting good rises. As the price of polluting goods rise consumers use less of the polluting good. As the price of nonrenewable energy rises and the price of renewable energy falls (with technological improvement) we reach the Hotelling "switch point" and the demand for renewable energy rises. The price of nonrenewable energy is, more or less, capped at the price of the renewable subsitute and the world is a greener place.

At the end of her remarks, Bachmann touts the authority of Mr. Horner on this particular issue. I recognize that NOT being a scientist does not necessarily discredit your viewpoints about a scientific issue. However, it certainly gives him less credibility than if Bachmann had allowed an actual scientist or even an economist to address this issue.

You can find more information about Horner at Media Matters as well as at a site (Desmogblog) I rely on extensively whenever I am looking for climate change related information.

I will continue to sift through the video from the Bachmann sponsored lecture series so stay tuned for more video and more analysis...

Cross Posted on Dump Bachmann
To be fair, this really was not a Bachmann Forum at all but rather a forum sponsored by Michele Bachmann at which climate change denier, Chris Horner, held all the power and controlled the questions which could be asked.

Additionally, as an educator I would say that this was by far one of the most poorly presented lectures I have ever witnessed. Why? Because if the purpose of this forum was to inform the general public about one side of the cap and trade issue, then the pace at which Mr. Horner spoke and presented his information was well beyond what the average consumer of information could possibly retain. I dare to bet that the vast majority of those in attendance would be unable to cite anything that Mr. Horner said beyond various quips about Al Gore and leprechauns.

However, that just may be the purpose. To overwhelm those in attendance with so much data (even if that data is flawed) at a speed that outpaces our ability to process that data so that we blindly accept this individual as some sort of expert.

UPDATE: In fact, you will notice that even right wing bloggers who were LIVEBLOGGING the event couldn't see fit to add even one piece of hard data from the presentation...

I will be working on the video from this "forum" (and the aftermath which was interesting) and hope to present it soon with various rebuttals...

9:24 AM | Posted in ,
Every now and again I find people discovering this blog because they are searching for names from the global warming denier petition released about a month ago. However, this morning I discovered that one of the names on this list of global warming deniers, one Allan Kehr, is running for office as a Republican in Minnesota House District 7B.

From Minnesota Brown:

Meantime, Allan Kehr is running for the GOP nomination. The DFL index in this district runs 3-1, though, so Kehr has his work cut out for him. He has shown the political instinct (or possesses the dumb luck) to get his name out there the same day as the Jaros retirement announcement, though. Reinert will have a huge advantage if he gets his name out as the first high profile DFL candidate.


So, the question remains: Is this the same Allan Kehr that lent his name to a petition denying the existence of anthroprogenic global warming?

Will someone be asking Mr. Kehr about this issue?

How will this affect his chances in a district that is strong DFL?
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7:32 PM | Posted in
Ever since attending the Global Warming Denial Forum in Elk River, I have tried to stay current on the activities of the deniers around the country. While I have tried to debunk their arguments using the available scientific research, I also have to recognize that I am not a scientist and am not qualified to debunk these arguments with in depth analysis. That level of analysis is better left to experts such as RealClimate and DeSmogBlog. However, I do have the ability to do is fight back against the public relations war put on by the deniers.

That being said, the denial machine has recently put out a list of supposed "scientists" deemed qualified to debunk global warming. Given the complete smackdown that previous lists have received, I am exceedingly skeptical about this particular list. However, it is very difficult for one person to sift through over 31,000 names to determine who really does have the credentials necessary to evaluate global climate change.

I am posing a significant challenge to the readers of this blog and all people passionate about exposing global warming deniers. Below are listed the names of 337 people from the State of Minnesota that have supposedly signed on to this position as experts or scientists qualified to speak on the complex science of climate change. While I will be attempting to check in to these names to verify who they are, if you have any information to offer on any of the following names please send me an email (political_muse@hotmail.com) or put your information in the comment section. With every new update of information I will repost this message so that people can see who is signing this petition and how qualified they really are.

This is an ambitious project, but if we can debunk (at the very least) the supposed expert deniers here in our own state perhaps other states will follow suit with their own campaign. These people are entitled to their opinion about global warming but they certainly are not entitled to make themselves on a level playing field with those people who have spent years studying this phenomenon.


Petition Signers in Minnesota

337 Signers Out of 31,072 Total in US

Terry D. Ackman,
Bryan C. Adams,
Paul Bradley Addis, PhD,
Ronald R. Adkins, PhD,
Gene P. Andersen,
Ingrid Anderson, PhD,
Ken Anderson,
Nathan Anderson,
B. M. Anose, PhD,
Dana Arndt,
Orv B. Askeland,
Bryan Baab,
Ronald R. Bach, PhD,
Paul A. Bailly, PhD,
A. Richard Baldwin, PhD,
Douglas W. Barr,
Blaine W. Bartz,
Milton Bauer,
Wolfgang J. Baumann, PhD,
Brian P. Beecken, PhD,
Richard Behrens, PhD,
Andrew H. Bekkala, PhD,
David M. Benforado,
Jody A. Berquist, DVM,
Jack N. Birk,
Rolland Laws Blake, PhD,
Rodney L. Bleifull, PhD,
William R. Block,
Todd E. Boehne,
Clay B. Bollin,
Maurice M. Bowers,
Susan H. Bowers, MD,
Raymond J. Brandt,
Arvid J. Braun,
E. J. Bregmann,
Charles W. Bretzman,
Roderick B. Brown,
Allan D. Brown,
Stephen M. Brzica, MD,
Richard L. Buchheit,
Donald Burke,
Mary E. Butchert,
James Calcamuggio,
Elwood F. Caldwell, PhD,
Herbert L. Cantrill, MD,
David Carlson,
Dave Carlson,
Orwin Lee Carter, PhD,
M. Castro,
Victor M. Castro,
Jim Caton,
Eugene Chao,
John W. Chester,
Terry R. Christensen, PhD,
Arnold A. Cohen, PhD,
Mark W. Colchin,
Professor Cole, PhD,
Mariette Cole, PhD,
James A. Collinge, MD,
Kent W. Conway,
Robert Kent Crookston, PhD,
Donald D. Dahlstrom, MD,
Moses M. David, PhD,
Thomas Jonathan Delberg, PhD,
Fletcher G. Driscoll, PhD,
Terrance W. Duffy,
Wayne D. Dunshee,
Dedi Ekasa,
Wayne G. Eklund,
James H. Elleson,
Paul John Ellis, PhD*,
Richard F. Emslander, MD,
Arthur E. Englund,
Douglas J. Erbeck, PhD,
John Gerhard Erickson, PhD,
Jack A. Eriksen,
John A. Eriksen,
Lee M. Espelan, MD,
Robert W. Everett, PhD,
Craig T. Evers, PhD,
Michael Fairbourne,
Eric E. Fallstrom,
Homer David Fausch, PhD,
Daniel A. Feeney, DVM,
Keith Fellbaum,
Herbert John Fick,
Stephen D. Fisher,
Eugene Flaumenhaft, PhD,
Eugene Flaumenhaft, PhD,
Carolyn R. Fletcher, DVM,
Dean G. Fletcher,
Terrence F. Flower,
William R. Forder,
David William Fox, PhD,
Melvin Frenzel,
Melchior Freund*,
Frank D. Fryer,
John Gaffrey,
Mary Carol Gannon, PhD,
Frank Germann,
Harold E. Goetzman,
Lawrence Eugene Goodman, PhD,
Max Green,
Gregory Greer,
Troy Gregory,
Carl L. Gruber, PhD,
Sam Gullickson,
Kelleen M. Gutzmann,
Jeff Hallerman,
Arthur Hamburgen,
George Charles Hann,
Steven Hanson,
Jonathan Hartzler, PhD,
Peter Havanac,
Dean J. Hawkinson, DVM,
Neil R. Helming,
Tara Henrichsen,
Ryan Henrichsen,
Donald W. Herrick, MD,
Fred G. Hewitt, PhD,
Frederick George Hewitt, PhD,
David A. Himmerich,
Charles D. Hoyle, PhD,
Mark D. Huschke,
Valentin M. Izraelev, PhD,
Wayne D. Jacobson,
Rodney Jasmer,
Mark T. Jaster,
Jean Jenderlco,
Timothy Berg Jensen, PhD,
Robert P. Jeub,
Scott Johnson,
Richard W. Joos, PhD,
Frank D. Kapps, MD,
Michael Peter Kaye,
Charles Keal,
Allan H. Kehr,
Patrick L. Kelly,
Paul T. Kelly,
Frank W. Kemp, MD,
James L. Kennedy,
Bridget R. King, DVM,
Donald W. Klass,
William P. Klinzing, PhD,
Roger C. Klockziem, PhD,
Charles Kenneth Knox, PhD,
David Kohlstedt, PhD,
Richard A. Kowalsky,
Michael S. Kuhlmann,
Joseph M. Kuphal,
John J. Lacey Jr.,
Robert F. Lark,
Ashley V. Larson,
Allen Latham,
Wayne Adair Lea, PhD,
R. Douglas Learmon,
Scott A. Lechtenberg,
Brian W. Lee, PhD,
Bruce Legan, PhD,
Ernest K. Lehman,
Mike Lehman,
E. K. Lehmann,
Ernest K. Lehmann,
Wendell L. Leno,
Roland E. Lentz,
Donald A. Letourneau,
Benjamin Shuet Kin Leung, PhD,
Wyne R. Long,
Donald Hurrell Lucast, PhD,
Mariann Lukan,
Rufus Lumry, PhD,
Richard G. Lunzer, MD,
William Macalla,
Mac Macalla,
James D. MacGibbon, MD,
Jay Mackie,
John Maclennan,
John R. Manspeaker,
Jean A. Marcy-Jenderko,
William N. Marr,
W. N. Mayer,
WT Mac McCalla,
John McCauley,
Tom McNamara,
William H. McNeil,
Igor Melamed Sr.,
David Shirley Mellen,
Maurice W. Meyer, PhD,
Frank Henry Meyer,
Daniel W. Mike, DVM,
K. Milani,
Stephen A. Miller,
David W. Miller,
Lawrence D. Miller,
Robert Moe,
Robert Leon Moison,
Glenn D. Moore, PhD,
David L. Mork, PhD,
Howard Arthur Morris, PhD,
Dave Mueller,
Edward S. Murduck, PhD,
Richard C. Navratil,
Kenneth H. Nebel,
Kevin F. Nigon, DVM,
Wayland E. Noland, PhD,
Frank Q. Nuttall, PhD,
Richard P. Nyberg,
August J. Olinger,
Mark G. Olson, PhD,
Leonard G. Olson,
Joseph Wendell Opie, PhD,
Charlotte Ovechka, PhD,
John S. Owens,
Gordon Squires Oxborrow,
Richard Palmer,
Robert E. Palmquist,
Guy R. Paton,
Timothy A. Patterson,
John W. Paulsen,
Alfred Pekarek, PhD,
Michael Pestes,
Steven F. Peterson, MD,
Donald G. Peterson,
Douglas D. Pfaff,
John N. Pflugi,
Frederic Edwin Porter, PhD,
Russell C. Powers,
Thomas F. Prehoda,
Randy M. Puchet,
Steven M. Quinlan,
Byron K. Randall,
Steven T. Ratliff, PhD,
Nancy C. Raven,
Timothy J. Reilly,
Richard J. Reilly,
Kristin Riker-Coleman,
David Joel Rislove, PhD,
Janis Robins, PhD,
Robert G. Robinson, PhD,
Robert Rosene,
Janet M. Roshar, PhD,
Olaf Runquist, PhD,
Peter A. Rzepecki, PhD,
Wilmar Lawrence Salo, PhD,
Wade D. Samson,
Richard M. Sanders, PhD,
Peter K. Sappanos,
Jay Howard Sautter, PhD,
Paul Savaryn, MD,
Curt C. Schmidt,
Tony Schmitz,
Thomas W. Schmucker,
Oscar A. Schott,
Gerald Schramm,
Kevin Schulz, PhD,
James W. Seaberg,
Dave Seibel,
James M. Sellner,
James C. Sentz, PhD,
James B. Serrin, PhD,
Arlen Raynold Severson, PhD,
Dennis F. Shackleton,
G. P. Shaffner,
Mark W. Siefken, PhD,
William E. Skagerberg,
Frank J. Skalko, PhD,
Neil A. Skogerboe, MD,
Ivan Hooglund Skoog, PhD,
Norman Elmer Sladek, PhD,
Kenneth Sletten,
Aivars Slucis,
Chad J. Smith,
Bryan Smithee,
David Perry Sorensen, PhD,
Harold G. Sowmam, PhD,
Dale R. Sparling, PhD,
D. Dean Spatz,
Edward Joseph Stadelmann, PhD*,
Leon Stadtherr, PhD,
Larry A. Stein,
Truman M. Stickney,
Sandy Stone,
Bart A. Strobel,
Patrick Suiter,
Bruce M. Sullivan,
Arlin B. Super, PhD,
Frederick Morrill Swain, PhD,
David R. Swanberg,
Brian M. Swanson,
Robert M. Swanson,
Brion P. Szwed,
Robert T. Tambornino,
Gerald T. Tasa,
Gregory D. Taylor,
Greg Taylor,
Walter Eugene Thatcher, PhD,
Brenda J. Theis,
James A. Thelen, DVM,
Mark Thoma,
Herbert Bradford Thompson, PhD,
Mary E. Thompson, PhD,
Richard David Thompson,
Arnold William Thornton, PhD,
Edward A. Timm,
Patrick A. Tuzinski,
John R. Tweedy,
Oriol Tomas Valls, PhD,
William R. Vansloun, MD,
Gloria E. Verrecchio, DVM,
George M. Waldow,
David R. Wallace,
James R. Waller, PhD,
E. C. Ward,
Robert Wardin, PhD,
Douglas Eugene Weiss, PhD,
Rod Wells,
Jerome R. Welnetz,
James E. Wennen,
James E. Wenner,
James F. Werler,
Clarence L. Wesenberg,
Darrell J. Westrum,
Robert W. Whitmyer,
John F. Wilkinson,
Daryl P. Williamson, MD,
Richard D. Williamson,
Dick Williamson,
Ronn A. Winkler,
Jerry Witt, PhD,
Mark Wolf,
Bruce Frederick Wollenb, PhD,
Professor Woller,
John Woods, MD,
Richard R. Zeigler,
Nancy Zeigler,
William J. Zerull,
Daryl E. Zuelke
Category:
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8:26 PM | Posted in , ,
Before attending a Global Warming Denial Forum more than two weeks ago, I have to be honest that I knew very little about anthroprogenic global warming. That is not to say that I was a denier, because I did believe the phenomenon existed. It was a case where I trusted the experts and understood that scientists with Degrees far more advanced than mine probably knew more than I.

Since attending that forum, I have written much about that event and actually have learned quite a bit. In a strange and twisted way I have to thank the Heartland Institute and James Taylor for helping me to understand more about global warming so that I can properly discredit their propaganda. Unfortunately, if you check out the right wing blogosphere (especially here in Minnesota) you continue to find a great deal of rhetoric trying to deny the existence of a widely accepted phenomenon.

In more global warming news, Amy Klobuchar spoke on the floor of the United States Senate to discuss its affects on the United States and to call the country to action.



Later, she takes President Bush to task for his lackluster speech on addressing climate change. Her call to action includes getting this country to lead the way rather than follow with cap and trade systems, wind investments, solar investments, and investments in biofuels. Finally, Klobuchar promises to come to floor each and every week to speak about climate change legislation and the need for such legislation.

"We Can No Longer Delay!"



The newest denier technique is to claim that news about global warming has diminished as we have seen stranger weather in places like Minnesota. They take this as an "obvious" sign that global warming is not real. However, to those naysayers I offer just a few news stories from the last 30 days:
5:44 PM | Posted in
After an extensive examination of the Global Warming Denial Forum a couple weeks ago, I received an interesting set of links that seem to indicate that the Heartland Institute is having trouble with its list of scientists who refute anthroprogenic global warming.

Over at Desmogblog, they have been contacting the various scientists on the Heartland Institute list of those who have "documented doubts" about global warming. In doing so, they have uncovered quite a few of those scientists that don't actually share the views of the Heartland Institute:

UPDATE: we have received notes now from 45 outraged scientists whose names appear on the list of 500. We've published more quotes here.

Dozens of scientists are demanding that their names be removed from a widely distributed Heartland Institute article entitled 500 Scientists with Documented Doubts of Man-Made Global Warming Scares.

The article, by Hudson Institute director and Heartland "Senior Fellow" Dennis T. Avery (inset), purports to list scientists whose work contradicts the overwhelming scientific agreement that human-induced climate change is endangering the world as we know it.

DeSmogBlog manager Kevin Grandia emailed 122 of the scientists yesterday afternoon, calling their attention to the list. So far - in less than 24 hours - three dozen of those scientists had responded in outrage, denying that their research supports Avery's conclusions and demanding that their names be removed.

They picked up the story over at Dailykos.


Cross Posted on St. Cloud Times
Category:
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We have thus far taken bit by bit the information provided by Mr. James Taylor about his love of spinning sound science. While we are not entirely finished deconstructing Taylor and his lack of acceptance of the facts, it is time to highlight the honesty by which the global warming deniers in the room wanted to examine this issue.

This man stood up and expressed his disgust for An Inconvenient Truth. The worst was yet to come as he went on to make the claim that Al Gore is no better than Leni Riefenstahl, the famed Nazi propaganda film maker.



It takes a special kind of hatred of someone to refer to them as a Nazi and it essentially highlights the faux debate that deniers are seeking. There is no amount of information or evidence that could have been provided to this man which would convince him that global warming is real and is being ostensibly caused by man. If you are willing to go so far as to call Al Gore a Nazi, then you have made up your mind and the debate is essentially over. His hatred of Al Gore will always blind him and many other deniers to any of the facts that may come out.

The other classic trotted out by this man was that the big bad education system is indoctrinating our children. After this comment, the rest of the question and answer period was devoted to those liberal teachers who dare show An Inconvenient Truth in their classroom and how we are systematically destroying the ability of our students to debate. Now, mind you, this man has no evidence to back up such a claim and I would daresay that he hasn't set foot in a classroom in many years. It is this type of vitriol towards educators and education that consistently makes my job and the job of teachers everywhere more difficult.

I have NEVER used my position as a teacher to push any agenda, whether liberal or conservative, and have always encouraged my students to discover their beliefs for themselves. I want my students to think for themselves whether that thinking leads them to conservative thought or to liberal thought or somewhere in between. THAT is the difference between myself and this man and dare I say many other deniers. He does not truly want both sides covered. He wants his side covered and the other side dismissed as tantamount to Nazism.

Cross Posted on St. Cloud Times
While I hate to wonder about the education Mr. Taylor received, it does boggle the mind in this particular segment (number five in our series) to hear him mistake the word frequency for the word intensity. Now it is understandable if Mr. Taylor wants to ignore the findings of Al Gore and the vast majority of scientists throughout the world but if he is going to try to discredit their evidence on the INTENSITY of hurricanes he really ought to use the proper words. Given that Gore never related the FREQUENCY of hurricanes to global warming you will find Taylor using a classic strawman argument to prove a point that was never in question.



"The scientific evidence has piled on high against the theory that hurricanes are increasing as a result of global warming."


You are right about one thing, Mr. Taylor, that science has not accepted the theory that hurricanes are increasing as a result of global warming. However, the problem is that Al Gore NEVER SAID THAT! What he did say was that hurricane intensity was increasing.

Mr. Taylor goes to an article by NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) to prove his point. Now I don't know how many times we will have to point out that Mr. Taylor is cherry picking from a source that accepts anthroprogenic global warming, but here we go again. In its frequently asked questions about global warming, NOAA says outright that there is "no scientific debate" on the subject.

Setting up his strawman, Taylor reads from the article believing that he has effectively destroyed his strawman. Unfortunately, that same article supports the actual statement of Gore saying that the intensity of hurricanes is increasing due to warming ocean waters.

Hurricanes need warm ocean waters to strengthen and sustain them. Hurricanes do not form unless water temperatures are at least 80 degrees Fahrenheit — hot enough to create atmospheric convection that casts moisture 10 miles up into the atmosphere. Ocean waters were generally two to three degrees Fahrenheit warmer than average during the 2005 season, which favored stronger hurricanes.


Additionally, an article from 2006 indicates that anthroprogenic global warming has contributed to increases in ocean temperatures.

The region of the tropical Atlantic where many hurricanes originate has warmed by several tenths of a degree Celsius over the 20th century, and new climate model simulations suggest that human activity, such as increasing greenhouse gas emissions into the atmosphere, may contribute significantly to this warming.


The rest of the video consists of Taylor building up his strawman with statements from other renowned hurricane experts refuting the idea of increasing frequency. It is impossible to dispute these facts but important to point out once again that the point made by Al Gore and An Inconvenient Truth was that the intensity was increasing and not the frequency. Thus, these additional quotes become entirely irrelevant to the debate.

Cross Posted on St. Cloud Times
In the fourth piece of our continuing series to examine the Heartland Institute's continued denial of anthroprogenic global warming, we find James Taylor using evidence of climate change to disprove climate change. It is yet another example of Taylor picking one piece of evidence that is even in the slightest way contrary while at the same time ignoring the mountains of evidence provided by a magazine he himself deems "sound science".

While I am not entirely sure how you use evidence that something IS happening to prove that it ISN'T happening but here we go:



Let us for a moment examine a couple of key sentences:

"Sound science has proved that global warming is not causing any such recession of Himalayan glaciers."


Really? Mr. Taylor used an article from National Geographic in order to prove his point so I went to National Geographic given that he has termed this magazine "sound science". What you find is that either National Geographic has been taken over by a bunch of liberals or Mr. Taylor has cherry picked an article that suits his argument. First, the magazine put out a Global Warming Fast Facts piece last year that essentially supports the notion held by the IPCC and all but ignores the evidence provided by the Heartland Institute.

As to the claim made by Taylor regarding the Himalayas, a search of the same magazine he uses yields articles that show climate change affecting glaciers in many parts of the Himalyas.
The other sentence in question:

"National Geographic Magazine reported on September 11, 2006, in an article ironically enough entitled Some Glaciers growing due to Climate Change"


Mr. Taylor, are you really trying to tell us that an article discussing the "regionally varying effects" of climate change proves that anthroprogenic climate change isn't real?

This is now the second instance where Taylor tries to use evidence from scientists who believe in anthroprogenic climate change to disprove anthroprogenic climate change. Someone should really tell Mr. Taylor if there is so much "sound science" refuting climate change, then he should probably stop using evidence from scientists who believe in that climate change.

Cross Posted on St. Cloud Times
We often hear that if you make a claim often enough and loud enough there will come a point when that claim becomes truth. James Taylor has mastered this technique and seeks to solidify his "truth" for an audience of mostly willing participants. In the next post in our series (which actually occurs before the video in the first post) we examine another claim made by Mr. Taylor about the Kilimanjaro reference in the film by Al Gore. By the by, as an educator I would say that Mr. Taylor is an absolutely horrendous teacher due to that fact that he flies through his information at such a speed (especially given the nature of that information) that I daresay not a single person in that room retained the details. Perhaps, though, that is the genius of Mr. Taylor for all you need to know as a global warming denier is that this man cited some article that said something that just might question anthroprogenic global warming.

Once again, I present to you Mr. Taylor:


At the beginning, Mr. Taylor once again makes the claim that the Earth has warmed 0.6 degrees since the end of the Little Ice Age. However, if you visit the Goddard Institute for Space Studies you will find that the Earth has actually warmed 0.8 degrees in the past century with 0.6 degrees of that warming coming in the past three decades. Given that this information is around 2 years old, you have to wonder why a man so interested in the science would have ignored this data.

Global warming is now 0.6°C in the past three decades and 0.8°C in the past century. It is no longer correct to say that "most global warming occurred before 1940". More specifically, there was slow global warming, with large fluctuations, over the century up to 1975 and subsequent rapid warming of almost 0.2°C per decade.


Taylor goes on to reference an article he found in Nature Magazine about the glacier found on Mount Kilimanjaro. Given that Mr. Taylor uses Nature Magazine and must hold its findings in high regard I decided to do a little experiment. If you go to their website and do a search for "Global Warming" it yields 1,744 results. I would challenge anyone to go to through those results (subscription required) and find a majority of articles that challenge anthroprogenic global warming. If Mr. Taylor and others claim that the majority of science refutes global warming it shouldn't very difficult to make such a collection of articles.

The article he does use, "African Ice Under Wraps" by Betsy Mason does indeed discuss the idea that deforestation is the cause for the shrinking Kilimanjaro ice cap. However, it is unclear whether this entirely discounts global warming as Mr. Taylor tries to assert or, more likely, that this is not the most pertinent example that could be found.

After hearing this, the friend I attended the Denial Forum with made a good point. If farmers cutting down trees can have an affect on the climate of a mountain, then why is it so difficult to believe that humans all over the planet can have an affect on the climate of the globe?

The folks over at Real Climate do an excellent job of fisking this claim as well:

The Heartland Institute's propagation of the notion that the Kilimanjaro glacier retreat has been proved to be due to deforestation is even more egregious. They quote "an article published in Nature" by Betsy Mason ("African ice under wraps," Nature, 24 November, 2003) which contains the statement "Although it's tempting to blame the ice loss on global warming, researchers think that deforestation of the mountain's foothills is the more likely culprit." Elsewhere, Heartland refers to this as a "study." The "study" is in reality no scientific study at all, but a news piece devoted almost entirely to Euan Nesbit's proposal to save the Kilimanjaro glacier by wrapping it in a giant tarp. The article never says who the "experts" are, nor does it quote any scientific studies supporting the claim. The Mason news article is what Crichton quotes as "peer reviewed research" proving that it is deforestation, not global warming, which is causing the Kilimanjaro glaciers to retreat. (George Monbiot's article in The Guardian documents a similar case of systematic misrepresentation of glacier data by skeptics.)


Cross Posted on St. Cloud Times
On April 17th, roughly 80 people assembled into the auditorium at Elk River High School to hear what was touted as a balanced presentation of the global warming "debate". Unfortunately, both the organizers and the presenter were deniers and thus controlled the flow and direction of the discussion. The following is the introduction of the presentation given by James Taylor of the Heartland Institute. We will have a deeper examination of Heartland and its "nonpartisan" nature of denying negative effects of smoking as well as their connection to the oil industry but for now we focus on this introduction.

The following is the introduction given by Mr. Taylor:


In his remarks he makes the claim that temperatures had been 2-3 degrees warmer than today without giving any explanation of where he came by such a figure. It becomes difficult to refute such a claim without knowing how he came to such a conclusion. However, it appears he was using a regional climate reading and attributing that to the globe as a whole. At Real Climate, there is a good refutation of such claims.

As part of the presentation, Taylor discusses how he will be showing roughly an hour of the Al Gore film, An Inconvenient Truth. I asked Mr. Taylor after the forum was over if he had received permission to show the film and he seemed a bit befuddled until a female supporter jumped in and declared that because it was a free event they need not seek permission. His final comment to my question about copyright was "Al Gore has enough money".

While I am no expert on copyright law, I did find the website of Swank Motion Pictures who own the rights to the film. In order to find out more about whether there is a potential copyright violation here I emailed the group with the following message:

To whom it may concern,

On April 17th, 2008 I attended a global warming forum in Elk River, Minnesota, put on by James Taylor of the Heartland Institute and some area legislators. At that event they showed an hour of your film An Inconvenient Truth. When I asked Mr. Taylor if they had received permission he claimed he did not need permission due to the nature of the event and that there was no charge for attendance.

I am curious as to whether this may be an infringement of your copyright?


Here is my question and the response given by Mr. Taylor. I apologize for the video but the audio is clear.



Cross Posted on St. Cloud Times
Senator Mike Jungbauer introduced the global warming denial tour in Elk River, Minnesota. While much of his speech centered around his own experiences in denying global warming while accepting whole heartedly any science that might shed even the slightest doubt on the phenomenon, what was particularly interesting was the constituency Jungbauer claimed to never think about working for in the state legislature. What might that constituency be? Gays? Liberals? Minorities? Nope, Mr. Jungbauer NEVER thought that he would be working for the poor when he got to the legislature.

Most people will not be shocked to learn that a Republican would never consider working for the poor but to hear it straight from the horses mouth sure does make one wonder if Republicans will be just coming out and admitting they only work for the wealthy rather than trying to hide it behind rhetoric.



Cross Posted on St. Cloud Times
A friend of mine and I ventured out to Elk River tonight to check out the Global Warming Isn't Real Forum put on by local conservative legislators and the Heartland Institute.

Highlights include:

*Apparently Representative Jungbauer never believed he would be going to the legislature to work for the poor.

*An objective look at global warming means showing An Inconvenient Truth, allowing a global warming denier to cherry pick information in order to cast doubt on its content, then showing The Great Global Warming Swindle after which the same global warming denier controls the stage questioning none of its content.

*During questioning time, everyone's favorite scapegoat, educators were soundly raked over the coals for daring to show the Al Gore film. Oh, and apparently Al Gore is tantamount to Nazi filmaker Leni Reifenstahl.

I don't have the time or the energy to upload the corresponding youtubes with evidence conveniently left out of the discussion, however stay tuned as this will be a good one!

The question I have though, is what sort of copyright laws this group may have violated by showing An Inconvenient Truth without paying for it or getting consent. Perhaps we will have to look into that one a little closer.
3:59 PM | Posted in , ,
Let me be perfectly clear, I am neither a scientist nor am I even an arm chair expert on issues of climate change and global warming. That being said, someone in the global warming denier organization really ought to be sitting people down to come up with a coherent message because from my perspective, YOU DON'T HAVE ANY IDEA WHAT YOU ARE TALKING ABOUT. Now, before you jump down my throat as some sort of Al Gore loving sycophant, I would like to remind you that this is quite possibly my first post on the subject of global warming and that I am far from being a hard core environmentalist (which will probably get some of my eco-liberal friends ticked off at me).

On the one hand, you try to make the claim that there is no global warming. Yet, in the same breath you are quick to claim that if there is it is certainly not due to human activity.

Can you really have it both ways? It doesn't seem logically possible to both deny something and claim that the thing you are denying is being caused by other things. Even more mind boggling than that, is how you can actually create evidence to support the idea that global warming is a natural occurring phenomenon while at the same time claiming you don't believe the Earth is warming in the first place. It seems to me, that if you are finding and presenting evidence that global warming is NOT a phenomenon caused by humans, then you have already accepted the premise that global warming exists and is occurring.

Never is this strange conflict more apparent than on days such as today. Outside, in April, you will find a snowstorm raging across the landscape as if it were the middle of winter rather than the beginning of spring. All across the global warming skeptic world, you find the "told you so" crowd using this event to claim that this obviously proves there is no global warming. Yet, this same crowd will then debate global warming by making claims that it is not caused by humans. Before this crowd can come to the table for the debate, their first task really ought to be to make a decision on whether there is or is not global warming.

What got me pondering this message was a post by Larry Schumacher a couple weeks ago in which he publicizes an upcoming forum to be held by Mark Olson and his friend Betsy Wergin in Senate District 16.

Sen. Betsy Wergin, R-Princeton, and Rep. Mark Olson, R-Big Lake, are hosting a climate change forum next month featuring the viewpoints of a free market non-profit that argues that there is no global warming trend and that, if there is, it isn't caused by humans.


So, Mark, Betsy, and some guy from the Heartland Institute are going to sit you down and tell you that global warming isn't real but just in case it is they are also going to tell you all the reasons it cannot possibly be caused by human activity. I see, makes perfect sense! Given the complete destruction of logic that it will take in order to make that argument, it may be time to break out the camera and go youtubing. If you too, would like to go youtubing, send me an email and we can coordinate a fun and exciting experience where we learn to both deny global warming and effectively deny the human activity aspect of global warming which we didn't believe was happening in the first place. Got that? April 17th, 2008, at Elk River High School (7pm).





Cross Posted on St. Cloud Times